Introduction: Risks and Challenges

Global Vulnerabilities and Threats to “Human Security”
The theory of interdependence and the concept of vulnerability –
The “Janus head” of globalization – The rise of China and India:
new instabilities in the international system? – A new Cold War over
resources? – Environmental sensitivities and vulnerabilities –
Summary and Conclusions
Franz Nuscheler, Tobias Debiel, Dirk Messner


II. World Order and Peace

Fragile States and Peace-building
Conflicting contours of a fragmented world order –
Causes of war and state failure – External measures to stabilize fragile states
Tobias Debiel, Sascha Werthes


III. World Society and Development

Global Social Policy and Development
Social development in the era of globalization – Global social policy
and the Millennium Development Goals – Prospects for implementing
a global social policy
Thomas Fues


IV. World Economy and Natural Resources

International Raw Materials Markets: Rising Prices and
Growing Conflict Potential

The raw materials situation worldwide – The political economy
of international raw materials markets – Abundant raw materials –
a curse or a blessing for developing countries? – The challenge for
governance strategies: elements of sustainable resource management
Raimund Bleischwitz


V. Environmental Change and Transnational Spill-over Effects

Climate Change and Global Health Risks
Dimensions of global environmental change – Health impacts of
climate change – Unequal distribution of health impacts worldwide –
Adaptation to the health impacts of climate change – The options:
“Mitigation and Adaptation” or “Prevention and Treatment”? –
Global environmental policy: the most effective way to prevent health damage
Rainer Sauerborn


Notes on the Contributors


Strengthening Social Security in Africa


Numerous African countries have adopted measures to improve social protection in recent years. And a large number of relevant initiatives have been established at both regional and continental level. How successful are they and what are the challenges associated? What has to happen for initiatives to be effective on a broader scale? And what kind of support can the international community provide? We will discuss these questions with experts from politics, academia, business and civil society during this year’s Potsdam Spring Dialogues on 19/20 April 2018. Register now!

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Current challenges for democracies


In February 2018, the first Dresden Forum for International Politics took place. The new series is co-organised by the sef:, the Free State of Saxony, Engagement Global gGmbh and Foundation Frauenkirche Dresden. Around 80 experts from different world regions discussed current challenges for democracy. They focused on how to create and sustain peaceful societies in democracies. Read the conference report and further coverage online now!

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The Development and Peace Foundation (sef:) and the Institute for Development and Peace (INEF) are launching a new publications series: GLOBAL TRENDS. ANALYSIS. The new series aims to identify options for international policy action in an ever more complex world. Furthermore, it presents perspectives from different world regions. The series analyses current developments and challenges against the background of long-term political trends, and it illustrates facts with figures and tables. GLOBAL TRENDS. ANALYSIS is issued by a team of co-editors from different world regions. For more information, see our press release.

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Cooperation in a Post-Western World


The Western liberal order finds itself in deep crisis. Global power shifts are accelerating. What does this mean for the future of global cooperation? How can the wish for more national autonomy be reconciled with the need to cooperate in a globalised world? Can new forms of governance contribute to sustaining global cooperation? Michèle Roth and Cornelia Ulbert discuss these questions in the first issue of the new publication series GLOBAL TRENDS. ANALYSIS.

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How to overcome the impasse in UN Security Council reform


The urgently needed UN Security Council reform has been stuck for decades. Without a far-reaching structural change that includes the end of permanent seats and the veto, the Council is fading into irrelevance. But at a time of great power transitions, multipolarity without sufficient multilateralism is a dangerous trend. Therefore, in GLOBAL TRENDS. ANALYSIS 02|2018, Jakkie Cilliers calls for a political and intellectual leap to overcome the impasse in UN Security Council reform.

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